Societal resilience must also be addressed, because political uncertainty (or even political subversion) is not only highly possible but also is as dangerous as a military intervention in the region.
Tensions in Baltic-Russian relations originate in fragmented history cognition, deformed memory policy, broadly cultivated myths about Russia as the liberator of the Baltic States, and attempts to construct the identity of the Baltic countries through the politization of history and massive propaganda. These aspects lead to pockets of confrontation and ethnic tension in the Baltic countries. Russia likes weak democracies that lack coherence in national and Euro-Atlantic identity, because such conditions allow for all kinds of operations (including military) to be executed.
Read the full Executive Summary of the research here: Resilience of the Baltic Countries Against Russia’s Foreign Policy_Executive Summary